Refocusing on the dynamics of the Earth’s climate
Autor: | P. V. Belolipetskii, A. G. Degermendzhi, Yu. D. Ivanova, M. Yu. Saltykov, Sergey I. Bartsev, A. A. Pochekutov |
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Rok vydání: | 2016 |
Předmět: |
Cultural Studies
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences Global temperature Meteorology Climate commitment Climate change Transient climate simulation 01 natural sciences Natural (archaeology) Physics::Geophysics 010305 fluids & plasmas Dynamics (music) Climatology Step function 0103 physical sciences Political Science and International Relations Environmental science Climate model Physics::Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
Zdroj: | Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 86:135-142 |
ISSN: | 1555-6492 1019-3316 |
DOI: | 10.1134/s1019331616020015 |
Popis: | Our opinion on the properties of the Earth’s climate system does not coincide with that generally accepted. Statistical analysis shows that, if we put aside the most substantial natural perturbing factors, the long-term global temperature dynamics appears as a step function of time. This dynamics is fundamentally different from the climate system’s continuous response to external anthropogenic effects, which is demonstrated in the models of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The variants illustrated by a simple model (the system, affected either inadvertently or externally, changes from one quasi-stationary state to another) seem to be more suitable. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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