Characterising the effect of external factors on deterioration rates of bridge components using multivariate proportional hazards regression

Autor: Raka Goyal, Tara L. Cavalline, Matthew J. Whelan
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
Zdroj: Structure and Infrastructure Engineering. 13:894-905
ISSN: 1744-8980
1573-2479
DOI: 10.1080/15732479.2016.1217888
Popis: Within asset management of infrastructure systems, increases in maintenance needs subject to budgetary constraints have motivated the development of tools to forecast deterioration to optimise maintenance intervention. Current bridge deterioration modelling approaches, including the evolving duration-based methods, routinely rely on a priori categorisation of bridges based on design, functional, and geographic factors to account for their effects on deterioration rates. However, such preclassification is often based on engineering judgement and may not reflect the true influence of these explanatory factors. In the current study, a proportional hazards regression-based methodology was developed to identify the most critical factors affecting deterioration using the entire unsegmented bridge database. The framework designed to perform this duration-based regression on large bridge databases is presented in this paper and results from implementation on a state inventory of over 17,000 bridges are discussed....
Databáze: OpenAIRE