Shootout-89, A Comparative Evaluation of Knowledge-based Systems That Forecast Severe Weather
| Autor: | P.D. Lampru, J. Bullas, Thomas R. Stewart, R. Shaw, R.S. Phillips, J. Weaver, J.C. McLeod, J. A. Flueck, S.M. Zubrick, W. F. Roberts, Cynthia M. Lusk, William R. Moninger, B. de Lorenzis, K.C. Young, E. Ellison |
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| Rok vydání: | 1991 |
| Předmět: | |
| Zdroj: | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 72:1339-1354 |
| ISSN: | 1520-0477 0003-0007 |
| DOI: | 10.1175/1520-0477(1991)072<1339:saceok>2.0.co;2 |
| Popis: | During the summer of 1989, the Forecast Systems Laboratory of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration sponsored an evaluation of artificial-intelligence-based systems that forecast severe convective storms. The evaluation experiment, called Shootout-89, took place in Boulder, Colorado, and focused on storms over the northeastern Colorado foothills and plains. Six systems participated in Shootout-89: three traditional expert systems, a hybrid system including a linear model augmented by a small expert system, an analogue-based system, and a system developed using methods from the cognitive science/judgment analysis tradition. Each day of the exercise, the systems generated 2–9-h forecasts of the probabilities of occurrence of nonsignificant weather, significant weather, and severe weather in each of four regions in northeastern Colorado. A verification coordinator working at the Denver Weather Service Forecast Office gathered ground-truth data from a network of observers. The systems were evalu... |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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