Public Opinion Polls, Voter Turnout, and Welfare: An Experimental Study

Autor:	Jens Großer, Arthur Schram
Rok vydání:	2010
Předmět:	Sociology and Political Science Public economics business.industry media_common.quotation_subject Logit Turnout Public opinion Political science Political Science and International Relations Voter turnout Opinion poll business Welfare media_common
Zdroj:	American Journal of Political Science. 54:700-717
ISSN:	1540-5907 0092-5853
Popis:	We experimentally study the impact of public opinion poll releases on voter turnout and welfare in a participation game. We find higher overall turnout rates when polls inform the electorate about the levels of support for the candidates than when polls are prohibited. Distinguishing between allied and floating voters, our data show that this increase in turnout is entirely due to floating voters. When polls indicate equal levels of support for the candidates, turnout is high and welfare is low (compared to the situation without polls). In contrast, when polls reveal more unequal levels of support, turnout is lower with than without this information, while the effect of polls on welfare is nonnegative. Finally, many of our results are well predicted by quantal response (logit) equilibrium.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::32df077a51eea86a86a5309934bfe82a https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2010.00455.x Zobrazit plný text záznamu Plný text