Belief functions induced by multimodal probability density functions, an application to the search and rescue problem

Autor: Arnaud Martin, Pierre-Emmanuel Doré, Irène Abi-Zeid, Patrick Maupin, Anne-Laure Jousselme
Rok vydání: 2010
Předmět:
Zdroj: RAIRO - Operations Research. 44:323-343
ISSN: 1290-3868
0399-0559
DOI: 10.1051/ro/2011001
Popis: In this paper, we propose a new method to generate a continuous belief functions from a multimodal probability distribution function defined over a continuous domain. We generalize Smets' approach in the sense that focal elements of the resulting continuous belief function can be disjoint sets of the extended real space of dimension n. We then derive the continuous belief function from multimodal probability density functions using the least commitment principle. We illustrate the approach on two examples of probability density functions (unimodal and multimodal). On a case study of Search And Rescue (SAR), we extend the traditional probabilistic framework of search theory to continuous belief functions theory. We propose a new optimization criterion to allocate the search effort as well as a new rule to update the information about the lost object location in this latter framework. We finally compare the allocation of the search effort using this alternative uncertainty representation to the traditional probabilistic representation.
Databáze: OpenAIRE