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A typical EU antitrust investigation involves a sequence of events (surprise inspection, Commission decision, Court judgment) which affect the investigated …rm’s market value. We …rst model these relationships, and then use event study techniques to estimate the impact of these antitrust events on a …rm’s share prices. A surprise inspection reduces on average the …rm’s share price by between 1.9% and 4.8%, a negative Decision by the European Commission reduces it by 3.6%. If the Court annuls or strongly reduces the Commission’s …ne, this has a p |