Profiling Future Chinese Politburo Members: Looking at Trends and Characteristics of Newly Promoted Central Committee Members (1992–2012)
| Autor: | Alex Payette |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2017 |
| Předmět: |
05 social sciences
Geography Planning and Development 0507 social and economic geography Development 16. Peace & justice 050701 cultural studies 0506 political science Leadership studies Political economy Law Political science Political Science and International Relations Elite 050602 political science & public administration Profiling (information science) |
| Zdroj: | East Asia. 34:1-21 |
| ISSN: | 1874-6284 1096-6838 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s12140-017-9267-0 |
| Popis: | Efforts at finding the next Politburo members have, since the mid-1970s, been at the center of Chinese Elite and leadership studies. From the late 1980s onwards, leadership selection has become more institutionalized. This allows scholars to narrow down their search to more “propitious” elements in order to try to predict who might ascend to the Politburo. Consequently, this article ponders if it was possible to differentiate these individuals from their less “promotable” counterparts upon their entry into the Central Committee between 1992 and 2012. Based on statistical reassessment of variables commonly found in the literature, the article argues that soon-to-be Politburo members were already displaying a different profile than that of their counterparts 5 to 10 years before their entry into the Politburo. This article does not seek to establish a perfect predictive model rather than circumscribe the profile-type and environment in which these rising Elites can be found. Lastly, the latter opens a discussion on what to expect from the results as well as competing profiles found inside the Central Committee. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|
Full text from SpringerLink