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The paper covers the modeling of hydrodynamic processes in shallow waters in the presence of pollutants of various types, as well as areas covered with plastic waste, including nano- and microplastics. The simulation performed using new and effective mathematical instruments, including assimilation methods of measurement data, restoration of the state function, diagnostics of quality of the developed models, the research the sensitivity of models to variations in input data, the integration of models with various scales. Interrelated non-stationary, spatially inhomogeneous mathematical models of hydrodynamics and biological kinetics of shallow waters were developed and numerically implemented. They describe non-linear processes of hydrophysics, biogeochemical cycles, transport and transformation of suspensions and sediments with microplastic particles and other pollutants, absorption of it by zooplankton and fish, movement of plastic particles through food, the forecast of their impact on the main hydrobionts of shallow waters of the Azov-Black Sea basin, including the Azov Sea, Taganrog Bay, Gelendzhik Bay. The models take into account the heat and salt transport; the complex, dynamically changing water geometry; friction on the bottom and wind stresses; turbulent and advective heat and mass exchange in three coordinate directions; the Coriolis force; river flows; evaporation, temperature and oxygen regimes. They make it possible to improve the accuracy of hydrophysical processes modeling in shallow waters, to detect vortex structures of currents that can be a natural pollution traps, including microplastic. Based on a supercomputer, a complex of application has been designed and adapted for solving predictive problems of water ecology and water resources management. |
