A Model for the Risk of Microcephaly Induced by the Zika Virus (ZIKV)

Autor:	Miguel A. Enríquez, John Faber Arredondo Montoya, Carlos Alberto Abello Munoz, Anibal Munoz Loaiza, Maria E. Cardenas Perea, Steven Raigosa, Vanessa Abello Sossa, Hans Meyer Contreras, Oscar Arias Manrique, Irma Pérez Contreras, Dalia M. Muñoz Pizza
Rok vydání:	2016
Předmět:	Genetics Microcephaly Next-generation matrix medicine Applied mathematics Biology medicine.disease Dynamical system biology.organism_classification Basic reproduction number Zika virus
Zdroj:	Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation. :109-117
ISSN:	2327-4026 2327-4018
DOI:	10.4236/ojmsi.2016.43010
Popis:	It has been introduced and analyzed a mathematical model based on integral equations, which turns into a dynamical system of non-linear differential equations to account for the risk of microcephaly incidence caused by the Zika virus. A specific pregnant women susceptible group has been accounted for. The epidemic threshold (basic reproduction number) has been obtained by implementing the next generation matrix method. A sensitivity analysis with respect to each parameter has been applied to that threshold. Finally, the incidence to the exposure is obtained by performing several system simulations.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::25f5a4d91e073d89b1138fe6797ef155 https://doi.org/10.4236/ojmsi.2016.43010 Zobrazit plný text záznamu