Efficient rare event simulation for heavy-tailed systems via cross entropy

Autor: Yixi Shi, Jose Blanchet
Rok vydání: 2013
Předmět:
Zdroj: Operations Research Letters. 41:271-276
ISSN: 0167-6377
DOI: 10.1016/j.orl.2013.02.004
Popis: The cross entropy method is an iterative technique that is used to obtain a low-variance importance sampling (IS) distribution from a given parametric family, which must satisfy two properties. First, subsequent iterations of the parameters must be easily computable and, second, the family should approximate the zero-variance IS distribution. We obtain parametric families for which these two properties are satisfied for a large class of heavy-tailed systems. Our estimators are shown to be strongly efficient in these settings.
Databáze: OpenAIRE