Forecasting electric demand of distribution system planning in rural and sparsely populated regions
| Autor: | M.J. Buri, L.A. Finley, H.L. Willis |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 1995 |
| Předmět: |
Operations research
Land use Computer science business.industry Energy Engineering and Power Technology Distribution (economics) Demand forecasting law.invention Capacity planning Power system simulation law ComputerApplications_MISCELLANEOUS Electrical network Econometrics Electrical and Electronic Engineering Rural area business Economic forecasting |
| Zdroj: | IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. 10:2008-2013 |
| ISSN: | 1558-0679 0885-8950 |
| DOI: | 10.1109/59.477100 |
| Popis: | Modern computerized distribution load forecasting methods, although accurate when applied to urban areas, give somewhat less satisfactory results when forecasting load growth in sparsely populated rural areas. This paper examines the differences between rural and urban load growth histories, identifying a major difference in the observed behavior of load growth. This difference is exploited in a new simulation forecasting algorithm. Tests show the new method is as accurate in forecasting rural load growth and as useful for analyzing DSM impacts than past methods, while requiring considerably lower computer resources and data than other simulation methods of comparable accuracy. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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