The EVEREST project: sensitivity analysis of geological disposal systems
Autor: | Isabelle Wemaere, Catherine Certes, Karl-Heinz Martens, Pierre Escalier des Orres, Klaus Röhlig, Patrick Baudoin, Jan Marivoet, André Levassor, Jan Prij |
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Rok vydání: | 1997 |
Předmět: |
Engineering
Operations research business.industry media_common.quotation_subject Monte Carlo method Radioactive waste Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering Linear regression Conceptual model Sensitivity analysis Sensitivity (control systems) Safety Risk Reliability and Quality business Sensitivity analyses Uncertainty analysis media_common |
Zdroj: | Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 57:79-90 |
ISSN: | 0951-8320 |
DOI: | 10.1016/s0951-8320(97)00018-5 |
Popis: | The main objective of the EVEREST project is the evaluation of the sensitivity of the radiological consequences associated with the geological disposal of radioactive waste to the different elements in the performance assessment. Three types of geological host formations are considered: clay, granite and salt. The sensitivity studies that have been carried out can be partitioned into three categories according to the type of uncertainty taken into account: uncertainty in the model parameters, uncertainty in the conceptual models and uncertainty in the considered scenarios. Deterministic as well as stochastic calculational approaches have been applied for the sensitivity analyses. For the analysis of the sensitivity to parameter values, the reference technique, which has been applied in many evaluations, is stochastic and consists of a Monte Carlo simulation followed by a linear regression. For the analysis of conceptual model uncertainty, deterministic and stochastic approaches have been used. For the analysis of uncertainty in the considered scenarios, mainly deterministic approaches have been applied. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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