Efficiency of chilli futures trading in terms of price discovery and price transmission

Autor: I. Bhavani Devi, D. Vishnusankar Rao, J. Naipunya
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS AND STATISTICS. 11:137-143
ISSN: 2231-6434
2229-7278
Popis: This paper has examined the efficiency of futures trading of chilli in terms of price discovery and transmission. Seemingly unrelated regression” (SUR) model, Johansen’s multiple cointegrationtest, granger causality test and vector error correction model was applied to draw the results. Chilli spot market (Guntur) was efficient in price discovery. The Silbers and Garbage value of futures market was 0.0403 being significant at 1 per cent level (0.0037) indicating that futures market of chilli was inefficient in price discovery. The findings of the ADF test suggested that futures and spot prices of chilli attained stationarity at first difference. The co-integration test revealed the presence of one co-integrating equation and confirmed the long-run equilibrium relationship among futures and spot prices of chilli and spot markets came to short-run equilibrium as indicated by level of significance at 5 per cent i.e. (0.022), any disturbances in price would get corrected within 3 hours in spot markets as indicated by co-efficient values.
Databáze: OpenAIRE