Estimating the Sequencing of Evacuation Destination and Accommodation Type in Hurricanes
| Autor: | Yue Ge, Satish V. Ukkusuri, Hemant Gehlot, Abhishek Damera, Pamela Murray-Tuite, Seungyoon Lee |
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| Rok vydání: | 2019 |
| Předmět: |
050210 logistics & transportation
021110 strategic defence & security studies Injury control Accident prevention business.industry 05 social sciences 0211 other engineering and technologies Poison control Human factors and ergonomics 02 engineering and technology medicine.disease Suicide prevention Occupational safety and health 0502 economics and business Injury prevention medicine Business Management and Accounting (miscellaneous) Medical emergency Safety Risk Reliability and Quality business Safety Research Accommodation |
| Zdroj: | Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management. 17 |
| ISSN: | 1547-7355 2194-6361 |
| Popis: | Hurricanes are one of the most dangerous catastrophes faced by the USA. The associated life losses can be reduced by proper planning and estimation of evacuation demand by emergency planners. Traditional evacuation demand estimation involves a sequential process of estimating various decisions such as whether to evacuate or stay, evacuation destination, and accommodation type. The understanding of this sequence is not complete nor restricted to strict sequential ordering. For instance, it is not clear whether the evacuation destination decision is made before the accommodation type decision, or the accommodation type decision is made first or both are simultaneously made. In this paper, we develop a nested logit model to predict the relative ordering of evacuation destination and accommodation type that considers both sequential and simultaneous decision making. Household survey data from Hurricane Matthew is used for computing empirical results. Empirical results underscore the importance of developing a nested structure among various outcomes. In addition to variables related to risk perception and household characteristics, it is found that social networks also affect this decision-making process. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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