The Authors Respond to Allan Benjamin's Comments
| Autor: | Allison Macfarlane, Frank von Hippel, Ed Lyman, Gordon Thompson, Klaus Janberg, Robert Alvarez, Jan Beyea, Jungmin Kang |
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| Rok vydání: | 2003 |
| Předmět: | |
| Zdroj: | Science & Global Security. 11:59-60 |
| ISSN: | 1547-7800 0892-9882 |
| Popis: | As the multiple references to it in our article attest, we have learned a great deal from the pioneering work of Allan Benjamin et al, Spent Fuel Heatup Following Loss of Water During Storage (NUREG/CR-0649; SAND77-1371 R-3, 1979). Indeed, many of our conclusions and recommendations essentially echo those made in that report 24 years ago, but never implemented because the probability of an accidental loss of water was estimated to be too low to justify action. Benjamin argues that we should have estimated the probability that sabotage or terrorist attack might cause a loss of water. Indeed, he seems to suggest that the probability can be calculated with some precision with methods that his company offers. While we believe that systematic analysis is useful in identifying vulnerabilities, we are skeptical about the predictive value of probabilistic calculations—especially for malevolent acts. We respond more briefly to Benjamin’s other comments below |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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