A Simulation Model for the Risk of Fetal Exposure Originated by the Zika Virus (VIZK)
| Autor: | Hans Meyer Contreras, Irma Pérez Contreras, Maria E. Cardenas Perea, Anibal Munoz Loaiza, Gonzaga Ospina Patiño, Jesús A. Valdez García, Oscar A. Manrique Arias, Vanessa Abello Sossa, Miguel Ángel Enríquez Guerra, Carlos Alberto Abello Munoz, John Faber Arredondo Montoya, Dalia M. Muñoz Pizza, Steven Raigosa Osorio |
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| Rok vydání: | 2016 |
| Předmět: |
0301 basic medicine
education.field_of_study Microcephaly Incidence (epidemiology) 030231 tropical medicine Population Biology biology.organism_classification Fetal exposure medicine.disease Zika virus Maple software 03 medical and health sciences 030104 developmental biology 0302 clinical medicine Risk groups medicine education Basic reproduction number Demography |
| Zdroj: | Health. :1178-1186 |
| ISSN: | 1949-5005 1949-4998 |
| Popis: | It is set and analyzed a simulation model based on non-linear ordinary differential equations to interpret the dynamics of the microcephaly incidence caused by the Zika virus in a risk group of pregnant women. This one is induced by a population of men in a reproductive age. Also, some parameters of the model were estimated for an average temperature of 23℃ and by using the adjusted functions from references [1] [2]. All system simulations were done with the Maple software and parameters values obtained from several sources (estimated, hypothetic, and form literature). It has been found that the application of contraceptive measures impacts the population of sexually active women. As result, the exposure to congenital abnormalities increases, particularly, microcephaly. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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