The Next 100 Years? Reflections on the Future of Intelligence

Autor: Wilhelm Agrell
Rok vydání: 2012
Předmět:
Zdroj: Intelligence and National Security. 27:118-132
ISSN: 1743-9019
0268-4527
Popis: A growing interest in the history of intelligence might be a way to learn more about not only the past, but also the dynamics shaping the future of intelligence. Intelligence is an evolving activity and the twentieth-century experience must be regarded as a phase in an ongoing transformation of its institutions, methods and roles. At least six fundamental processes can be identified as relevant to this re-shaping of intelligence in long perspective; the decreasing hegemony of national intelligence, the rise of new fields of knowledge with intelligence relevance, the diminishing relative importance of exclusive sources and methods, the rise of new actors producing and providing intelligence, the loss of an intellectual monopoly in a competitive knowledge environment and finally an increasing demand for reliable assessments and verification in a fragmented world of information.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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