Impact of Uncertainty on Non-Medical Professionals' Estimates of Sexual Abuse Probability

Autor: Michelle I. Amaya, Kathleen E. Fountain, Robert M. Centor, Crayton A. Fargason, Myriam C. Peralta-Carcelen
Rok vydání: 1998
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Child Sexual Abuse. 6:49-64
ISSN: 1547-0679
1053-8712
DOI: 10.1300/j070v06n03_04
Popis: The study assesses how an educational intervention describing uncertainty m child sexual abuse assessments affects estimates of sexual abuse probability by non-physician child abuse professionals (CAP). It evaluates whether CAP incorporate medical information into abuse estimates in concordance with Bayes' Theorem. Eighty-nine CAP estimated the abuse probability for a hypothetical preadolescent female: (1) randomly selected; (2) disclosing abuse; (3) with physical evidence of abuse; and (4) disclosing abuse but with a normal physical examination. CAP then attended a workshop that included discussion of uncertainty in abuse assessment. Post-lecture questionnaires, identical to pre-lecture questionnaires except for estimates of the examination sensitivity and specificity, were administered. Expected responses for post-lecture Scenarios (3) and (4) were generated using Bayes' Theorem and compared to actual responses. Respondents estimated a high abuse prevalence (average 32%, range 5 to 75%). Respon...
Databáze: OpenAIRE