A STRUCTURAL MODEL OF ELECTORAL ACCOUNTABILITY

Autor: Allan Drazen, S. Boragan Aruoba, Razvan Vlaicu
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Zdroj: International Economic Review. 60:517-545
ISSN: 1468-2354
0020-6598
DOI: 10.1111/iere.12361
Popis: This paper proposes a structural approach to measuring the eects of electoral ac- countability. We estimate a political agency model with imperfect information in order to identify and quantify discipline and selection eects, using data on U.S. governors for 1982-2012. We …nd that the possibility of reelection provides a signi…cant incentive for incumbents to exert eort. We also …nd a selection eect, although it is weaker in terms of its eect on average governor performance. According to our model, the widely-used two-term regime improves voter welfare by 4:2% compared to a one-term regime, and …nd that a three-term regime may improve voter welfare even further.
Databáze: OpenAIRE