Parameter Identification and Dynamic Models of Socioeconomic Phenomena

Autor:	William F. Arnold, Jeffrey W. Young, John W. Brewer
Rok vydání:	1972
Předmět:	Scheme (programming language) Identification (information) Dynamic models Operations research Computer science Estimation theory Process (engineering) General Engineering Public policy Scientific modelling computer Socioeconomic status computer.programming_language
Zdroj:	IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics. :460-467
ISSN:	2168-2909 0018-9472
Popis:	A methodology is presented for developing socioeconomic models of the type formalized by Forrester. A means of including socioeconomic experts into the modeling process is suggested, and it is emphasized that such models are not scientific models but merely assemblages of expert opinion. An iterative numerical scheme based on the technique of "quasi-linearization" is described which can be used to adjust model parameters so that the model closely agrees with real data. The methodology is illustrated using a model of the socio economic system of the Lake Tahoe basin in northern California. Such a model may eventually be useful for purposes of environmental planning.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::131d55cb79fab8f46ff9952839e9f41d https://doi.org/10.1109/tsmc.1972.4309155 Zobrazit plný text záznamu