The empirical properties of euro area M3, 1980-2017

Autor: Hector Carcel Villanova, Alexander Jung
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. 77:37-49
ISSN: 1062-9769
DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2020.05.008
Popis: This paper revisits the empirical properties of euro area M3 over the years 1980 to 2017. We estimate a CVAR model that includes wealth in addition to conventional drivers. Our empirical analysis identifies three long run cointegration relations - one of which can be interpreted as a stable money demand function. We detect that wealth effects coming from movements of stock prices and housing wealth had a positive effect on the long-run money demand for M3 and on output. Moreover, we confirm leading indicator properties of M3 excess liquidity for inflation, in particular at horizons between 1 and 2 years.
Databáze: OpenAIRE