Modelling the Burden of Cardiovascular Disease in Turkey: Part 1
| Autor: | Greg Sutherland, Guillermo Villa, Isabelle Gagnon-Arpin, Mohdhar Habib, Mehmet Ergun Oksuz, Alexandru Dobrescu, Simten Malhan, Yücel Balbay, Gülnihal Ertuğrul |
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| Rok vydání: | 2018 |
| Předmět: |
medicine.medical_specialty
business.industry Mortality rate Public health Incidence (epidemiology) 030209 endocrinology & metabolism Disease 03 medical and health sciences Indirect costs 0302 clinical medicine Environmental health medicine Absenteeism Population growth cardiovascular diseases 030212 general & internal medicine Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine business Productivity |
| Zdroj: | The Anatolian Journal of Cardiology. |
| ISSN: | 2149-2263 |
| DOI: | 10.14744/anatoljcardiol.2018.89106 |
| Popis: | Objective This study aims to estimate the current and future burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in Turkey. Methods A burden-of-disease model was developed that included inputs on population growth, prevalence, and incidence of ischemic disease (IHD) and cerebrovascular disease (CeVD), prevalence of modifiable risk factors, mortality rates, and relationship between risk factors and IHD/CeVD. Direct costs to the public health-care system and indirect costs from lost production due to premature mortality, hospitalizations, disability, and absenteeism were considered. Results We estimated that in 2016, 3.4 million Turkish adults were living with CVD, including 2.5 million affected by IHD, and 0.9 million by CeVD. This prevalence is projected to increase to 5.4 million by 2035. The economic burden of CVD was estimated at US$10.2 billion in 2016, projected to increase twofold to US$19.4 billion by 2035. Conclusion Our study confirms that the current burden of CVD is significant, and that it is projected to increase at a steep rate over the next two decades. This growing burden of disease will likely create significant pressure on the public health-care system in the form of direct health-care costs, as well as on society in the form of lost productivity. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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