Using VEC formulation for energy demand and consumption forecasts for short and long term considering the impact of priceelasticity and external shocks

Autor: Paul Puget, Rodrigo L. Antunes, Denis Antonelli
Rok vydání: 2013
Předmět:
Zdroj: 22nd International Conference and Exhibition on Electricity Distribution (CIRED 2013).
DOI: 10.1049/cp.2013.0960
Popis: The paper presents the models that were developed to make forecasts for demand and electricity consumption for the horizons from 1 to 6 months (short term) and from 1 to 5 years (long term). In order to grasp the uncertainties mentioned above, it aims at measuring how shocks on explanatory variables, such as income, will reverberate on the consumption. These results will be used to formulate various scenarios, inputs necessary for strategic planning of the DSO.
Databáze: OpenAIRE