Viscosity estimation of Athabasca bitumen in solvent injection process using genetic programming strategy

Autor: Amir H. Mohammadi, Alireza Baghban, Hojatollah Ebadi, Alireza Rostami
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Zdroj: Energy Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects. 40:922-928
ISSN: 1556-7230
1556-7036
DOI: 10.1080/15567036.2018.1465490
Popis: A large portion of the total oil-in-place around the globe is composed of heavy/ultra-heavy oils and bitumen. The main challenge for producing bitumen is its large viscosity inhibiting the easy fluid flow through the pipeline transportation and wellbore productions. In this study, genetic programming (GP) as a powerful strategy was utilized to develop a symbolic formula for accurate prediction of bitumen/n-tetradecane mixture viscosity. Several statistical and graphical tools were applied to demonstrate the supremacy of the GP model in comparison with the formerly published correlations. As a result, the GP model is the best acting model with the lowest average absolute relative deviation percent (AARD%) of 9.43. Based on the sensitivity analysis, it is proved that solvent concentration is the most affecting variable on output estimation. Lastly, it can be concluded that the proposed GP equation can be a good nominee in research studies dealing with bitumen recovery.
Databáze: OpenAIRE