Using analogs ensembles and genetic algorithm to handle uncertainty in a microgrid

Autor: Calderon-Obaldia, Fausto, Migan-Dubois, Anne, Badosa, Jordi, Bourdin, Vincent
Přispěvatelé: Migan, Anne, Laboratoire Génie électrique et électronique de Paris (GeePs), CentraleSupélec-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Universidad de Costa Rica (UCR), Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (UMR 8539) (LMD), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-École des Ponts ParisTech (ENPC)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Département des Géosciences - ENS Paris, École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS Paris), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS Paris), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL), Laboratoire d'Informatique pour la Mécanique et les Sciences de l'Ingénieur (LIMSI), Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: 37th European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition (Eu-PVSEC)
37th European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition (Eu-PVSEC), Sep 2020, Lisbon, Portugal
Popis: International audience; In this work, a novel approach to deal with the PV forecast uncertainty during the energy management of a microgrid is presented. A novel adaptation of an analogs ensembles method allows to obtain a Sharpness indicator that is correlated with the PV forecast uncertainty. This indicator can be used to dynamically restrict the usable battery capacity when doing the day-ahead optimal scheduling using a genetic algorithm. This permits to deal with the PV uncertainty internally within the microgrid. This gives a total certainty to the grid operator about the power needs of the microgrid one day in advance. In this way, in a big scale, the uncertainty caused by a higher penetration of renewable energy sources in the national grid could be highly reduced. The main results of a real study-case are presented and the limitations of the method for its implementation are also discussed.
Databáze: OpenAIRE