HEPS challenges the wisdom of the crowds : the PEAK-Box Game. Try it yourself !

Autor: Zappa, M., Liechti, K., Pappenberger, F., Van Andel, S.J., Ramos, M.H.
Přispěvatelé: SWISS FEDERAL INSTITUE WSL MOUNTAIN HYDROLOGY AND MASS MOVEMENTS BIRMENSDORF CHE, Partenaires IRSTEA, Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA)-Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA), EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS READING GBR, UNESCO IHE HYDROINFORMATICS NLD, Hydrosystèmes et Bioprocédés (UR HBAN), Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA)
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2014
Předmět:
Zdroj: Geophysical Research Abstracts
EGU General Assembly 2014
EGU General Assembly 2014, Apr 2014, Vienne, Austria
Popis: International audience; Following a recent tradition, this year a game will also be played during the session on “Ensemble hydrometeorological forecasting”. During this presentation, the crowd attending the session will be asked to estimate the outcome of a probabilistic prediction system and to perform better than the Peak-Box approach. The “Peak-Box” is a novel visual support that can be communicated alongside with ensemble discharge forecasts (Zappa et al., 2013). This visual solution should provide support in the assessment of actions relying on accurate estimation of peak-timings and peak-flows. Results will be presented and discussed together with the participants of the session. Furthermore a blog post will appear later on www.hepex.org.
Databáze: OpenAIRE