Variability in causal judgments
Autor: | Kolvoort, I., Davis, Z.J., Van Maanen, L., Rehder, B. |
---|---|
Přispěvatelé: | Psychologische Methodenleer (Psychologie, FMG) |
Rok vydání: | 2021 |
Předmět: | |
Zdroj: | Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society, vol 43, iss 43 43rd Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society (CogSci 2021): Comparative Cognition Animal Minds : Vienna, Austria, 26-29 July 2021, 2, 1250-1256 |
Popis: | People’s causal judgments exhibit substantial variability, but the processes that lead to this variability are not currently understood. In this paper, we studied the within-participant variability of conditional probability judgments in common-cause networks by asking participants to respond to the same causal query multiple times. We establish that these judgments indeed exhibit substantial within-participant variability. This variability differs by inference type and is related to the extent to which participants commit Markov violations. The consistency and systematicity of this variability suggests that it may be an important source of evidence for the cognitive processes that lead to causal judgments. The systematic study of both within- and between-person variability broadens the scope of behavior that can be studied in causal cognition and promotes the evaluation of formal models of the underlying process. The data and methods provided in this paper provide tools to enable the further study of within-participant variability in causal judgment. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
Externí odkaz: |