Shutdown policies and worldwide conflict
| Autor: | Berman, Nicolas, Couttenier, Mathieu, Monnet, Nathalie, Ticku, Rohit |
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| Přispěvatelé: | Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques (AMSE), École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-École Centrale de Marseille (ECM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), CEPR, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies [Geneva, Switzerland] (Institut de hautes études internationales et du développement), Institute for the Study of Religion, Economics and Society, Chapman University, This work was supported by French National Research Agency Grants ANR-17-EURE-0020. Mathieu Couttenier acknowledges financial support from the IDEXLYON, University of Lyon (French National Research Agency, 'Programme Investissements d’Avenir' ANR-16-IDEX-0005). Nathalie Monnet acknowledge financial support from the Swiss National Research Foundation (grant Economics of Conflict and Violence P0GEP1-175125). Rohit Ticku acknowledges financial support from the Institute for the Study of Religion, Economics and Society, Chapman University., ANR-17-EURE-0020,AMSE (EUR),Aix-Marseille School of Economics(2017), ANR-16-IDEX-0005,IDEXLYON,IDEXLYON(2016), Lhuillier, Elisabeth, Aix-Marseille School of Economics - - AMSE (EUR)2017 - ANR-17-EURE-0020 - EURE - VALID, IDEXLYON - - IDEXLYON2016 - ANR-16-IDEX-0005 - IDEX - VALID |
| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: | |
| Zdroj: | Covid Economics Papers Covid Economics Papers, 2020, 16, pp.61-75 Covid Economics Covid Economics, Centre for Economic Policy Research CEPR, 2020, 16, pp.61-75 |
| Popis: | International audience; We provide real-time evidence on the impact of Covid-19 restrictions policies on conflicts globally. We combine daily information on conflict events and government policy responses to limit the spread of coronavirus to study how conflict levels vary following shutdown and lockdown policies. We use the staggered implementation of restriction policies across countries to identify their effect on conflict incidence and intensity. Our results show that imposing a nationwide shutdown reduces the likelihood of daily conflict by around 9 percentage points. The reduction is driven by a drop in the incidence of battles, protests and violence against civilians. Across actors the decline is significant for conflicts involving political militias, protesters and civilians. We also observe a significant cross-country heterogeneity in the effect of restriction policies on conflict: no conflict reduction is observed in low income countries and in societies more fractionalized along ethnic or religious lines. We discuss the potential channels that can explain this heterogeneity. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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