Modeli za procjenu potrošnje prirodnog plina
| Autor: | Matić, Mislav |
|---|---|
| Přispěvatelé: | Perković, Luka, Vulin, Domagoj, Kurevija, Tomislav |
| Jazyk: | chorvatština |
| Rok vydání: | 2018 |
| Předmět: | |
| Popis: | Uredba Komisije (EU) br. 312/2014 o uspostavljanju mrežnih pravila o uravnoteženju plina transportnih sustava propisuje pravila uravnoteženja plinskog sustava u EU te ju je Hrvatska ulaskom u EU dužna implementirati. Što boljim i preciznijim modelima za procjenu potrošnje plina je prognoza točnija te je manja potreba za uravnoteženjem sustava i plaćaju će se manje naknade za odstupanje. U ovom radu prikupljeni su ulazni podaci za izradu modela te su konstruirani modeli pomoću platforme Spyder i programskog jezika Python. Potrošnje dobivene modelima uspoređivane su sa stvarnim potrošnjama te se na temelju toga odredila preciznost i točnost svakog modela. The Commission Regulation (EU) No.312/2014 regarding the establishing a Network Code on Gas Balancing of Transmission Networks has been prescribed the EU and, as such, Croatia is obligated to implement it. Thanks to the increasingly improved accuracy of models for forecasting gas utilization, the need for the balancing of the system is reduced and penalties for deviation are becoming smaller This thesis gathers the input data for the creation of models, which are then created using the Spyder platform and Python programming language. Natural gas consumption calculated using the aforementioned models is then compared to historical gas consumptions and, based on the comparison results, the accuracy and the precision of each model is determined. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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