| Autor: |
Rhoades, AM, Jones, AD, Srivastava, A, Huang, H, O'Brien, TA, Patricola, CM, Ullrich, PA, Wehner, M, Zhou, Y |
| Rok vydání: |
2020 |
| Předmět: |
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| Zdroj: |
Geophysical Research Letters, vol 47, iss 17 |
| Popis: |
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) can be a boon and bane to water resource managers as they have the ability to replenish water reserves, but they can also generate million-to-billion-dollar flood damages. To investigate how anthropogenic climate change may influence AR characteristics in the coastal western United States by end century, we employ a suite of novel tools such as variable resolution in the Community Earth System Model (VR-CESM), the TempestExtremes AR detection algorithm, and the Ralph, Rutz, et al. (2019, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0023.1) AR category scale. We show that end-century ARs primarily shift from being “mostly or primarily beneficial” to “mostly or primarily hazardous” with a concomitant sharpening and intensification of winter season precipitation totals. Changes in precipitation totals are due to a significant increase in AR (+260%) rather than non-AR (+7%) precipitation, largely through increases in the most intense category of AR events and a decrease in the interval between landfalling ARs. |
| Databáze: |
OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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