| Popis: |
The paper investigates the possibility of modeling human resources in order to support decision- making in the education system in the Republic of Croatia. Prospective labor market research is conducted in most European countries. Based on a decree of the Government of the Republic of Croatia from 2010 with the aim to reform the education system, the Croatian Employment Service provides recommendations for enrollment policy based on labor market analysis. These analyses are not based on mathematical modelling tools. System dynamics, as one of the mathematical methods for modeling nonlinear dynamical systems, is used in many areas and activities, including the education system. The emphasis of most applied research is on the quality of the educational process, and less on human resource planning. The main characteristics of system dynamic modeling are nonlinearity, feedback loops and time delays, which are all characteristics of the educational system. With the application of contemporary information and communication technology, abovementioned gives applicability to system dynamic modeling for the presented problem. The advantage of complex systems modeling in a digital environment is that simulation experiments can exploit different scenarios, in order to reduce future human resource planning uncertainty and can be more sensitive to differences between regional labor markets. This review analyzes the factors influencing the problem of human resources planning in the education system in the Republic of Croatia, provides an overview of research and possibilities of system dynamics and proposes a framework for better planning based on utilization of system dynamics models and building tools. |
