| Autor: |
Pradhan, Binapani, Das, Madhumita, Pradhan, Chinmay |
| Zdroj: |
Marine Systems & Ocean Technology; 20230101, Issue: Preprints p1-16, 16p |
| Abstrakt: |
The present study aims to identify and forecast the probability of impact due to any oil spill near Paradeep coast, Odisha. Different hypothetical spill cases in different time intervals on the coast generate a probability map for oil spills consequences. A stochastic oil spill modelling approach is followed to understand the potential impacts of the oil spill in and around Paradeep, a busy port on the east coast of India. The study considers oil spills at one location on various dates (15 to be precise) spread over the seasons (summer, rainy, and winter). The 15 scenarios with different environmental conditions throughout the whole year are studied in a stochastic modelling approach. The probabilistic calculation of risk and forecasting of possible consequences of oil spill in the model can be used for oil spill risk assessment of Odisha marine environment. The stochastic modelling results of the scenarios showed that any spill near the Paradeep coast affects a large area of the coast. |
| Databáze: |
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