The global financial crisis and variability in the stock price index in India: a vector error correction model approach

Autor: Srivastava, Jagriti, Yadav, Sandeep
Zdroj: International Journal of Indian Culture and Business Management; 2023, Vol. 29 Issue: 1 p81-95, 15p
Abstrakt: We study the cointegration and causality between the various macroeconomic variables, global financial crisis (GFC) and the Indian economy [National Stock Exchange (NSE)] stock price index (SPI) from 1995-2018. We analyse how the macroeconomic variables: exchange rate (EX), gross domestic product (GDP), consumer price index (CPI), and money supply (M2) and SPI are related using a vector error correction model (VECM). The results suggest a long-run cointegrating relationship between the above-mentioned macroeconomic variables and SPI. We also find that bidirectional causality exists between GDP and SPI in India. The results also show that SPI and GFC have a significant negative relationship.
Databáze: Supplemental Index