| Abstrakt: |
ABSTRACTVisionarios are a tool to explore and test assumptions about a system, in this case a small element, and perhaps an optimistic depiction, of Israel at 100. When used in conjunction with functions such as planning or training in an institution, like many that are described in the story, the ability to understand the complex relationships that exist in real world systems or the ability to see unintended consequences of decisions can become more obvious. Typically, visionarios are developed through discussions with subject matter experts. Visionarios, coupled with decision-support tools such as system mapping or complex computer models that simulate reality, enable policymakers and decision makers to think through the ramifications of potential approaches to problem solving and improve system performance. Usually, next steps include the development of a systems map, with its key elements and their interdependencies. Visionarios are usually a part of an overall planning process that includes risk analysis across the entire sociological, technological, economic, environmental, and political spectrum and allows for stress testing of potential solutions to enduring problems institutions and nations are facing. |
