| Autor: |
Schmidt, Michael, Ploetner, Kay Olaf, Á-ttl, Gerald, Isikveren, Askin T., Hornung, Mirko |
| Zdroj: |
International Journal of Aviation Management; 2015, Vol. 2 Issue: 3-4 p167-182, 16p |
| Abstrakt: |
The aviation industry stakeholders operate in a volatile environment. Because of the long life-cycles of aircraft, the consideration of future developments is vital for the life-cycle cost (LCC) assessment of aircraft concepts during the conceptual design phase. Using current LCC models, a multiplicity of assumptions about the future development manipulates the results to a varying degree. Hence, a link between scenarios, as an established method for describing possible future developments, and LCC models is necessary to determine the scenario-driven LCC parameters. In order to establish this link, the relations between the key scenario factors and scenario-driven LCC parameters were mapped out and regression equations based on historical values describe the dependencies. The resulting model allows the evaluation of aircraft concepts for a variety of future scenarios and with identifying cost drivers for different future environments, it is now possible to provide more accurate predictions about the future cost of flying. |
| Databáze: |
Supplemental Index |
| Externí odkaz: |
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