Chance Discovery in Credit Risk Management.

Autor: Carbonell, Jaime G., Siekmann, Jörg, Okuno, Hiroshi G., Ali, Moonis, Goda, Shinichi, Ohsawa, Yukio
Zdroj: New Trends in Applied Artificial Intelligence; 2007, p896-904, 9p
Abstrakt: Credit risk management based on portfolio theory becomes popular in recent Japanese financial industry. But consideration and modeling of chain reaction bankruptcy effect in credit portfolio analysis leave much room for improvement. That is mainly because method for grasping relations among companies with limited data is underdeveloped. In this article, chance discovery method with directed KeyGraph is applied to estimate industrial relations that are to include companies' relations that transmit chain reaction of bankruptcy. The steps for the data analysis are introduced and result of example analysis with default data in Kyushu, Japan, 2005 is presented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Supplemental Index