The predictive factor - a method to simplify Bayes' formula and its application to diagnostic procedures.

Autor: Köbberling, J., Richter, K., Tillil, H.
Zdroj: Klinische Wochenschrift; Jun1984, Vol. 62 Issue 12, p586-592, 7p
Abstrakt: According to Bayes' rule the predictive value (PV) of a diagnostic test (= probability of disease if the test is positive) depends on the prevalence of the disease (= a priori probability), the sensitivity ( c) and the specificity ( c) of the test. A new variable has been introduced, the predictive factor ( c), which is calculated as follows: c= c/( c+1− c). Since the PV only depends on this factor and on the prevalence, the calculation is much easier and a general graphical solution is possible. This simplification renders several additional advantages and facilitates the understanding of the dependence of PV on prevalence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index