| Autor: |
Xiang-Chu Yin, Lang-Ping Zhang, Yongxian Zhang, Keyin Peng, Haitao Wang, Zhiping Song, Xiaotao Zhang, Shuai Yuan |
| Předmět: |
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| Zdroj: |
Concurrency & Computation: Practice & Experience; Aug2010, Vol. 22 Issue 12, p1549-1558, 10p, 1 Chart, 4 Graphs, 2 Maps |
| Abstrakt: |
The Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) value fluctuates around one during the early stage of the seismogenic process and then rises and reaches its peak point before the occurrence of a strong earthquake; the strong earthquake however does not onset at that time, but after the peak point LURR decreases sharply at the eve of the main shock before the final event outbreak. Thus, the peak point of LURR is ahead of the occurrence of an earthquake. We denote the lead time as T2. The discovery of peak point for LURR and the relationship between T2 and magnitude M is of great significance as the peak point is usually easy to determine and then we can predict the occurrence time for the coming event according to Equation (3) so that we can enhance the precision of time for earthquake prediction in terms of LURR from ‘year’ scale to ‘month’ scale. The variation of LURR around the Wenchuan earthquake and its lesson to us are depicted in the paper. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Databáze: |
Complementary Index |
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