Modeling the dynamic nexus between climate change, ICT, and agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa: a panel quantile ARDL.

Autor: Abdullahi, Nazir Muhammad, Danlami, Muktar, Kakar, Shayan Khan, Bah, Abdul Salami
Zdroj: GeoJournal; Oct2024, Vol. 89 Issue 5, p1-22, 22p
Abstrakt: Agriculture is the cornerstone of human survival, necessitating unwavering attention to its sustainability. However, the agricultural sector of Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries encounters substantial risks attributed to the issues presented by climate change. In light of this, we use several empirical estimates, such as the second-generation cross-sectional dependence tests, second-generation unit roots (CIPS and CADF), cointegration tests (Pedroni, Kao, and Westlund), and a novel Panel Quantile Autoregression Distributed Lag (PQARDL), to investigate the impact of climate change and Information and Communication Technology (ICT) on agricultural production and trade in SSA countries between 1993 and 2021. Our findings are as follows: (1) We show that precipitation, temperature, and CO2 emissions have a positive effect on agricultural production and trade in the long run. (2) We also observe significant and adverse impacts of the ecological footprint on agriculture (production and trade) over the long run. (3) ICT negatively affects agricultural production in the long run while positively influencing agricultural trade. (4) In the short run, we identify a positive association between the ecological footprint and ICT with agricultural production and trade. At the same time, temperature and CO2 emissions exhibit adverse effects on both domains. Finally, climate resilience, sustainability, and technological advancement should be encompassed to ensure the long-term prosperity of agriculture in SSA countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index