Probability of Firn Aquifer Presence in Antarctica by Combining Remote Sensing and Regional Climate Model Data.

Autor: Di Biase, V., Kuipers Munneke, P., Veldhuijsen, S. B. M., de Roda Husman, S., van den Broeke, M. R., Noël, B., Buth, L. G., Wouters, B.
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Zdroj: Geophysical Research Letters; 8/16/2024, Vol. 51 Issue 15, p1-11, 11p
Abstrakt: Despite in‐situ observations of perennial firn aquifers (PFAs) at specific locations of the Antarctic ice sheet, a comprehensive continent‐wide mapping of PFA distribution is currently lacking. We present an estimate of their distribution across Antarctica in the form of a probability assessment using a Monte Carlo technique. Our approach involves a novel methodology that combines observations from Sentinel‐1 and Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT) with output from a regional climate model. To evaluate our method, we conduct an extensive comparison with Operation Ice Bridge observations from the Greenland Ice Sheet. Application to Antarctica reveals high PFA probabilities in the Antarctic Peninsula (AP), particularly along its northern, northwestern, and western coastlines, as well as on the Wilkins, Müller, and George VI ice shelves. Outside the AP, PFA probability is low, except for some locations with marginally higher probabilities, such as on the Abbot, Totten, and Shackleton ice shelves. Plain Language Summary: We explore the presence of subsurface water storage within the firn layer in Antarctica, known as perennial firn aquifers (PFA), using a new method that combines satellite data and climate models. These PFAs, previously identified in Greenland, store and transmit meltwater, and could influence ice‐sheet behavior. Our study maps the likelihood of PFAs across Antarctica, finding high probabilities along the Antarctic Peninsula's northern and western coasts, as well as on specific ice shelves. Outside this region, PFAs are unlikely, except for a few spots with somewhat enhanced probability on Abbot, Totten, and Shackleton ice shelves. This inventory enhances our understanding of Antarctic hydrology and has broader implications for understanding ice‐sheet dynamics. Key Points: An innovative aquifer detection method, combining satellite and regional climate model data, is applied to AntarcticaThe evaluation of the methodology in Greenland, showing 91% correspondence, suggests good adaptability for AntarcticaThe Antarctic Peninsula stands out as the only region with high aquifer probability; in the rest of Antarctica, the likelihood is low [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index