An Interpretation of Weights in Linear Opinion Pooling.

Autor: Romeijn, Jan-Willem
Předmět:
Zdroj: Episteme (Cambridge University Press); Mar2024, Vol. 21 Issue 1, p19-33, 15p
Abstrakt: This paper explores the fact that linear opinion pooling can be represented as a Bayesian update on the opinions of others. It uses this fact to propose a new interpretation of the pooling weights. Relative to certain modelling assumptions the weights can be equated with the so-called truth-conduciveness known from the context of Condorcet's jury theorem. This suggests a novel way to elicit the weights. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index