| Autor: |
S, Pavithrapriya, A, Ramachandran, S N, Ahamed Ibrahim, K, Palanivelu |
| Předmět: |
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| Zdroj: |
Theoretical & Applied Climatology; Aug2023, Vol. 153 Issue 3/4, p1049-1062, 14p, 5 Charts, 8 Graphs |
| Abstrakt: |
Climate variability is directly or indirectly affecting crop production and threatens the food security of livelihood. The Cauvery delta region (CDR) is the agricultural protective zone of Tamil Nadu state, the crop production in this region is vulnerable to climate change impacts. In this study, the future climate change impact of black gram yield has been assessed using the DSSAT-CROPGRO model in the CDR. The model was calibrated during the 2018 sowing period and validated during 2019 cultivation practices for determining the genetic coefficient of the black gram cultivar VBN6. The RMSE values of observed and simulated yield were 910 and 890 kg ha−1 respectively. RegCM4 model is used for the simulation of Vigna mungo yield under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios during the 1985–2015 (baseline), 2020–2039 (near-century), 2040–2069 (mid-century), and 2070–2099 (end-century). The results reveal that simulation of black gram yield change could be around 34%, 52%, and 25% during the near-century, mid-century, and end-century respectively for RCP 4.5 based on the baseline period. Adjusting the sowing date is evaluated as an adaptation option in future climate change scenarios, and results revealed that early sowing in the winter season could be the best suitable growing period for better yield in this region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Databáze: |
Complementary Index |
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