Autor: |
Rehiara, Adelhard Beni, Wihyawari, Bibiana Rosalina, Paisey, Fourys Yudo Setiawan |
Předmět: |
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Zdroj: |
AIP Conference Proceedings; 5/10/2023, Vol. 2590 Issue 1, p1-6, 6p |
Abstrakt: |
As one of the new provinces in Indonesia, West Papua Province needs the infrastructures for supporting its development, including electrical infrastructures. In this paper, system dynamics modeling has been built to investigate the readiness of electrical infrastructure, especially electricity generation, in facing the energy demand by the growth of population and other sectors in West Papua Province. The models have met the absolute mean error (AME) standard of validation. The simulation of the Business as Usual (BAU) model shows that the generation units are supported well in normal condition until 2050. In case no additional installed capacity for the generation units, the existing units may not support the population and energy growth by 2043 and 2047 in.the designed scenarios simulation. The lack of capacity is due to the upwards of energy demand in 2050, about 5012.09 GWh in scenario 1 and 7406.98 GWh in scenario 2, which is significantly increasing from 5012.09 GWh in BAU. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
Databáze: |
Complementary Index |
Externí odkaz: |
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