| Abstrakt: |
This study presents the population dynamics by ethnicity in the lands of Crişana Region, Romania, based on a population forecast for the year 2030. The aim of the study is to provide short term population dynamics information by comparison between the six lands and area of the region. Crisana is a heterogeneous area from ethnic point of view and migration has been intense in the past three decades, but some ethnicities have been more affected by this phenomenon than others, therefore this forecast is made by ethnicity and the results show different trends. The population of each Land and area is characterized by the studied ethnicities, but the numbers differ considerably. Also the lands and areas show different trends regarding the ethnic populations. The method used for population forecast is a quantitative method based on statistical data obtained from successive censuses. The reference years taken into study are 1900, 1030, 1992, 2002 and 2011. Despite the fact that by 2011 the trend was decreasing, because from 1900 to 1992, the number of population increased, the trend for 2030 is also of increase for most ethnicities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
