| Abstrakt: |
The North American monsoon (NAM) is an important source of rainfall to much of Mexico and southwestern United States. Westerly winds (westerlies) can suppress monsoon circulation and impact monsoon timing, intensity, and extent. Recent Arctic warming is reducing the temperature gradient between the equator and the pole, which could weaken the westerlies; however, the implications of these changes on the NAM are uncertain. Here we present a new composite index of the Holocene NAM. We find monsoon strength reached a maximum circa 7,000 years ago and has weakened since then. Proxy observations of temperature, hydroclimate and upwelling, along with model simulations, show that the NAM was modulated by the westerlies over the Holocene. If the observed Holocene pattern holds for current warming, a weaker meridional temperature gradient and weaker westerlies could lead to a stronger future NAM. Plain Language Summary: The North American monsoon (NAM) is a main source of summertime rain in Mexico and southwestern North America. Here we explore how the NAM rainfall has changed over the past 11,000 years using information from natural archives of past climate (called "proxies") as well as climate models. We find that monsoon was strongest around 7,000 years ago and has weakened since then. This weakening of the monsoon appears to be caused by a strengthening of the mid‐latitude jet stream, which was influenced by changes in high‐latitude versus low‐latitude temperatures over that period. This paper explores the relationship between temperatures, the jet stream, and the NAM in data and models, which is relevant to future climate in the region. Key Points: A new multi‐proxy‐based estimate of the Holocene North American monsoon (NAM) is presentedProxy and modeled evidence show westerly winds were a dominant control on the Holocene NAMHigh‐latitude temperature drove changes in the Holocene westerly winds and thus the NAM [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
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