Responses of the International Bond Markets to COVID-19 Containment Measures.

Autor: To, Bao Cong Nguyen, Nguyen, Tam Van Thien, Nguyen, Nham Thi Hong, Ho, Hoai Thu
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Risk & Financial Management; Mar2022, Vol. 15 Issue 3, p127-N.PAG, 11p
Abstrakt: Using an international sample during the COVID-19 outbreak, our study gives evidence that COVID-19 containment measures impact volatility in the international bond markets in different ways. We found that the positive effect of increasing new COVID-19 vaccinations markedly mitigates bond market volatility, while non-pharmaceutical government interventions resembling bad news increase volatility in bond markets. Besides this, changes in total COVID-19 cases and total deaths have co-movement and a significant relationship with this volatility. Our results imply that the investors' responses to the trigger of increased uncertainty seem to differ in a way that depends on bad or good news as a reflection of the possibility of pandemic control and the health of the economy. The mass vaccinations not only signal a lower probability of stringent government responses to the pandemic but also stabilize investors' behavior and mitigate compliance fears to open a period of safe living with coronavirus. Our findings are still robust when using alternative measures of independent variables and different forecasting models of conditional volatility. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index