| Abstrakt: |
One of the perspective directions of the development to modern aviation is connected with designing and producing unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) of various functionalities for applying in military and civilian spheres. The process of designing and producing state-of-the-art airplane-less technology involves many factors of ambiguity, leading to the emergence of corresponding risk-impacting factors. However, the results of the analysis show that the decision support systems used in this process are insufficient at the stages of the creation of the designs. Thus, at present, the hardwaresoftware system for risk management of complex technical systems, including unmanned aerial vehicles has not been sufficiently developed for practical implementation. The approaches currently used do not state a complete set of risk indicators, including technical ones. And the applied, in most cases, apparatus of probability theory is mostly limited by an underdeveloped database of reliable statistical indicators for the general public. The work, based on the results of the analysis of the previous experience of research and development work on the design of airplane technology, in particular of the pilotless technology, identifies the main risk-taking factors and possible negative scenarios for the development of pilotless designsю. The main risk-taking factors and possible negative scenarios for the implementation of the design of unmanned aircraft models were identified. In the article on the basis of the analysis of the reasons of involvement in performance of research and development works the basic risks of the indirect factors and possible negative scenarios of performance of projects of creation of samples of aviation equipment are defined. Based on the results of the analysis of risk-forming factors, the risk indicators of the projects of creation (modernization) of aircraft models are substantiated. A methodical approach to the criterion assessment of risk indicators at the stages of research and development work on the development (modernization) of aircraft is proposed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
