Bayesian state-space 모델을 이용한 말쥐치 자원평가 및 관리효과 분석.

Autor: 최민제, 김도훈, 이해원, 서영일, 이성일
Předmět:
Zdroj: Ocean & Polar Research; Mar2020, Vol. 42 Issue 1, p63-76, 14p
Abstrakt: This study sought to assess the stock status and analyze the management effects with regard to the Black scraper, which is one of the more commercially important species in Korea. The catch amounts of Black scraper have significantly decreased since 1991. In this analysis, a Bayesian state-space model was utilized to assess the biomass of the Black scraper given the limited data. Model results showed that MSY and BMSY of Black scraper were estimated to be 26,587 tons and 365,200 tons, respectively. In addition, the current biomass level of the Black scraper was assessed to be only 2.1% (7,549 tons) of BMSY. For this reason, the effects of a moratorium policy on the Black scraper were evaluated. The results showed that if such a moratorium policy was implemented, it would take at least 18-40 years to restore the biomass level of the Black scraper to BMSY depending upon its growth rates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index