Autor: |
Freitas, Breno Bezerra, Teles, Clayton Ferreira, Lins, Davi Ribeiro, Jaramillo Loayza, David Mickely, Lima Ramalho, Dayane Cristina, de Queiroz, Dayse Maria Benevides, de Freitas, Deivid Matias, da Silva, Francisco Eduardo Mendes, da Silva, Francisco Jeandson Rodrigues, Alves Palacio, Gilderlanio Barbosa, Cassiano Ribeiro, José Cleison, Uchôa, Kênio Monteles, Santos Leticia, de Oliveira, Neco Rabelo, Magna Lívia, Batista, Natasha Esteves, Marques de Carvalho, Paulo Cesar, de Lima, Raoni Alves, Menezes Victor Augusto, Cavalcante Bezerra, Gualberto, Victor Soares, de Tiago, Oliveira Nogueira |
Předmět: |
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Zdroj: |
Revista Ciência e Natura; 2020 Special Issue, Vol. 42, p1-20, 20p |
Abstrakt: |
Based on the worldwide proposition of energy matrix scenarios for 2050, the objective of this article is to present scenarios of electricity generation for Ceará in 2050, showing the participation of sources already used in the state's electric matrix and adding new ones. The article proposes three scenarios: a conservative one, where the present proportion of electricity generation sources of the state is maintained, a transition one, with 50% of electricity generation from non-renewable sources and the other 50% from renewable sources, and 100 % renewable, without the use of fossil or nuclear fuels. Estimates for 2050 in the state are obtained by extrapolating generation data from 2011 to 2017, reaching an estimated 94.775 GWh. In the conservative scenario, it is observed that half of this generation is made by thermoelectric plants and the other half by wind farms. In the transition scenario, dominated by the use of natural gas, the exponential growth of photovoltaic generation stands out. In the 100% renewable scenario, dominated by wind farms, in addition to the similar growth of photovoltaic generation as in the transition scenario, we highlight the use of urban solid waste and solar thermal concentration plants. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
Databáze: |
Complementary Index |
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