Non-COVID-19 deaths after social distancing in Norway.

Autor: Catalano, Ralph, Casey, Joan A., Bruckner, Tim A., Gemmill, Alison
Předmět:
Zdroj: European Journal of Epidemiology; 2020, Vol. 35 Issue 11, p1021-1024, 4p
Abstrakt: Lay persons and policy makers have speculated on how national differences in the imposition of social distancing to reduce SARS CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) infection has affected non-COVID-19 deaths. No rigorous estimation of the effect appears in the scholarly literature. We use time-series methods to compare non-COVID-19 deaths in Norway during its 9 weeks of mandated social distancing to those expected from history as well as from non-COVID-19 deaths in relatively less restricted Sweden. We estimate that 430 fewer Norwegians than expected died from causes other than COVID-19. We argue that failing to account for averted non-COVID-19 deaths will lead to an underestimate of the benefits of social distancing policies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Databáze: Complementary Index